Thursday, April 25, 2013

Mayday

It appears that Brad Cowan's prediction 4 years ago in Pentagonal Time Cycle Theory for a major market event (Beast Cycle) in May 2013 is going to arrive right on schedule.

These market tops have typically been occurring as 3 peaks. If this top plays out the same way, it looks like we may have seen the first of the 3 peaks on April 11 at a Nasdaq geocentric Mars 72° cycle, and the second one forming now. The odds look good for this peak to occur near the potentially major turn window of April 28-29, discussed here, with the possibility that it completed today with the lunar eclipse. An important low occurred on April 18 (at the other potentially major time window of April 18-20) in between these 2 peaks.

If the markets do complete a second peak in the next few days, we should expect a drop back down to around the April 18 low near 1535-1540 SPX (or lower) before another final peak sometime around mid May.

Alternatively, the markets could continue their climb and give a first peak in May.

The equities turn dates for May are listed below. The clustered events are likely to represent a single turn.

Potentially major (cluster)
May 5: DOW Geocentric Ceres 36°
May 5: Nasdaq Geocentric Mars 18°
May 7: S&P Geocentric Sun Conjunct South Node 72°

Probably minor
May 10: Annular Solar Eclipse
May 10: Nasdaq Mars 18°
May 13: S&P Geocentric Mars conjunct South Node 72°
May 15: S&P Jupiter-Venus Conjunction 36°

Very Major (cluster)
May 20: Geocentric Uranus-Pluto Square; Sun enters Gemini
May 21: Beast Cycle (date may not be accurate)
May 21: S&P Geocentric Mars 72°

Probably minor
May 25: Penumbral Lunar Eclipse

Potentially Major (cluster)
May 28: Uranus, North Node,Jupiter/Venus Great Triangle 72° (Possible effect May 17 through June 2)
May 30: Nasdaq Geocentric Mars 36°
May 30: S&P Ceres 72°

The Beast Cycle date given above is just one possibility that has been discussed here and here. Cowan gives other possible dates in his book.

Regarding the May 20 Uranus-Pluto square, this will be the 3rd of 7 such geocentric squares in the 2012-2015 timeframe:

June 24, 2012
Sep 19, 2012
May 20, 2013
Nov 01, 2013
Apr 21, 2014
Dec 15, 2014
Mar 17, 2015

Richard Nolle warns:
The 2012-2015 squares are the first since the 1932-1934 series, which was waning with Uranus in Aries and Pluto in Cancer (the confiscation of gold by Presidential decree, and consequent devaluation of the dollar following several years of financial panic). The prior series (1876-1877), a waxing square from Uranus in Leo to Pluto in Taurus, saw the establishment of the Reichsbank as central bank of a unified Germany after several years of financial panic there; and, in the US, the Department of the Treasury's Bureau of Engraving and Printing started printing all US currency (which had previously been printed by private bank note companies). 

There is also a heliocentric Uranus-Pluto square occurring November 24, 2013. An in depth article by Nick Anthony Fiorenza on this aspect and its impact on society can be found here.

I may add charts later if time permits.

ADDENDUM

I was just re-reading Cowan's chapter on the Beast cycle in Pentagonal Time Cycle Theory. What is noteworthy is that Mars crossed the heliocentric Aries 23° point on April 9 (noted here), which is the Mars point of the Beast cycle explained here. This occurred just 2 days from the important April 11 high.

Cowan stresses the importance of each planet interacting with the pentagram, even when they do not occur simultaneously. So that is what we had going on here. Earth crosses its Beast cycle point on April 19, and Venus on May 21. The Beast cycle interacts with more planets than I have described but I don't want to get into that here because it is explained in the book.

72 comments:

  1. Hi Ms. Platy!
    What could mean this "beast day" ? A simple correction of 10 % on spx ? This is something usual on an yearly cyclic basis.
    You've said that Cowan gives other possible dates in his book. Are those dates + / - a few days around 21 may 2013 or there are serious weeks/months differences between different possible dates?

    Thank you,
    V.

    p.s. As far as I can see,there's no clear sign of an imminent correction on spx, or dow, or others ... Thanks.

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    1. Hi V., it is a 13 year cycle. Please review the post linked above regarding the Beast Cycle to see its importance.

      The dates given by Cowan are all within a few weeks of each other I believe.

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    2. Thank you Ms. Platy!
      V.

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  2. Platy, thank you so much for this lengthy post and the dates listed! The three peaks seems very plausible as there is some postive May astro in the second half of the month.

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    1. Can you explain more about the positive May astro?

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  3. Platy, by no means am I an astro expert. From a geocentric point of view, you have the Mercury/Jupiter conjunction on May 27th, the Venus/Jupiter conjunction on the 29th,which should be optimistic aspects. Platy, is it possible to have the third top as late June? Also, I've read something about the top being in by the time Jupiter gets to 24th degree of Gemini. Do you know anything about that? I think I read something like that on Ray Merriman's website last week. From your experience, do you find the helio aspects more powerful than the geo, or are they both equal?

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    1. Thanks for that info. I do remember reading something like that on Merriman's site, which is down right now - we'll have to check back later. My outline in the post is just a possibility and things could turn out very different. Certainly the markets could continue up or sideways until June. I think both helio and geo aspects are important, probably equally.

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  4. You're welcome, Platy. That 390 degree Jupiter cycle on May 7 mentioned in Pentagonal Theory (with a cycle origin of Oct. 87)must be important too, right? Venus opposes the North Node (geo) in a couple of days. Is that a downer too? There's also the Mars opp. to the North Node (geo) on May 13. The more I look at it, this looks like the bears will get their day!

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    1. Mars-S. Node - I missed that one thanks!

      I don't usually look at other starting dates like Cowan does, and yes May 7 could be important.

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  5. Platy, I don't know how you keep up with all those dates! Happy to be of any help to you and this is a great blog!

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  6. Platy, it's me again. That Mars opp. the North Node is just a general aspect, but it could still impact the markets, right? Promise, this is my last post tonight!

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    1. Yes the nodes are very important so any aspect involving them could impact the markets.

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  7. I am a subscriber to Raymond Merriman's reports and this is what he has to say about the stock market and Jupiter/Gemini. In 1920 and 1966 the stock market ended its advance when Jupiter was between 14 degrees and 24 degrees Gemini. In the year 2013 Jupiter is between 14 to 24 degrees Gemini from April 12th to June 4th. So it's likely the US stock market will end its advance sometime between now and June 4th and that will be a significant top from which a decline will begin.

    In addition, Merriman mentions the waning trine between Saturn and Neptune which last took place on Oct 10, 2012 and returns again on June 11, 2013 and July 19, 2013. Look for a long term cycle to culminate during this time and for prices to reverse sharply for at least 1 to 2 years afterwards.

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  8. Very well put together Platy.. SPX 666 thumbs up!!!

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  9. Platy, what do you mean by SQUARE. Pertaining to May 20, 2013. Which is also the 360 Uranus that was talked about on the outlook of 2013.

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    1. Pluto and Uranus exactly 90° apart.

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    2. ahh... so is 180 a square also? since 90 x 2? or 45 is 90 / 2?

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    3. 180 is an opposition. 45 is a semisquare.

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  10. Hi platy
    I wonder what I am doing wrong.
    I can only comment using "anonymous (BBC....born before computers)

    I have read your 2011 Beast post.
    You are a better teacher than Cowan.
    regards
    Bob

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    1. Thanks Bob but I must disagree :)

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  11. According to Armstrong, "The big turning point is due the week of 05/13."

    http://armstrongeconomics.com/2013/04/17/dow-getting-tired/

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    1. "Important Dates this month are 6th, 9th, 14th, 20th & 27th May"

      http://0101.nccdn.net/1_5/109/222/27c/May-Transit-Watch.pdf

      rotrot

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    2. "On Sunday, April 28, the Sun will make its opposition to Saturn. On May 1, Mars will make its opposition to Saturn. Both planets (Sun and Mars) will also form a soft trine to Pluto on May 1 and May 5 respectively. The Sun and Mars in opposition to Saturn have relatively high historical correlations to primary cycles in stocks if given an orb of 11 trading days...I don’t think we are in a time band where a primary bottom is due. Therefore, we look for a possible primary cycle crest – or double top – to form in here...it will be a fight between the forces of the cosmos, which suggest a prolonged decline could start shortly under normal circumstances (if it hasn’t already begun) versus the power and behavior of the central banks to keep the show going on."

      http://www.mmacycles.com/weekly-preview/mma-comments-for-the-week/mma-comments-for-the-week-beginning-april-29,-2013/

      rotrot

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    3. Thanks RR, that fits with Jay's outlook.

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  12. Hi, platy, very meritorious this splendid work, we are fortunate.

    I can see the Beast date but, i can not understand the 7 dates for it.

    The reality is that we can see Beast cycle date in the end of may (20-21, Uranus date(28 may)-is this the 17-years cycle date, we talked about? and some other dates converging in some weeks, and also Jay´s date.

    One thing more, platy, remember buffee (Peggy)April 5, 2012( in your bolg), predicts as Cown said: (...) late March 2013 high, May-Jun 2013 low, Major high July 2013, and downtrend into Oct. 2013 (...)

    Then Cowan´s May 2012 turn would be a low and high mid year 2013, high would come in july 2013.

    These all information you provide us in this awesome post, matches with this last comment written by buffy/Peggy that interpret Cowan predictions.

    As always, thanks a lot.

    Apanalis.

    I

    ReplyDelete
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    1. The 7 dates listed at the bottom are not Beast cycle dates, they are Uranus-Pluto squares.

      I do not believe Cowan called for a May-Jun low, or July high, or October low. If so, where?

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    2. Hi Apanalis, I found Buffy's comment you are referring to. These are Buffy's predictions, not Cowan's. Buffy did an outstanding job predicting the major 2012 turns! But I believe May 2013 will be a high not a low. If Buffy is reading maybe she can give us an update. :)

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    3. It would be magnificent, may be rotrot can tell her!

      Yes, platy, the interpretation of this is a drop until the end of may or the beginning of june( about 10% or more), like last year and, after we could see a retest to the previous highs/ or marginals peaks in some US indices in summer time, july´13?

      I w´ like to see more optimism in Investors Intelligence, about 35-40 bullish and the AAII not so depressed as past weeks and we need time.

      May be from endind may´13 or mid may we could see new top and next a drop.

      Thanks for your responses, platy.

      Apanalis

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    4. http://www.foxbusiness.com/news/2013/04/26/more-stimulus-to-kick-in-before-japanese-election/

      Japan has an election in July and Abe wants to pump more money.
      The new bill is under evaluation and probably be done on May 15.

      If this thing passed on time, a low in mid/late May and final high in July?

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    5. Different Anonymous.
      And I meant US index.

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  13. "...markets will most likely react on Monday 29th April"

    http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?s=&showtopic=146612&view=findpost&p=655599

    rotrot

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  14. Platy, last thing, the 28 of may Uranus date correspond to Uranus Cycle, the 17-years-cycle we talked about months ago?

    Thanks

    Apanalis

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    1. I'm not sure what you're referring to. Cowan's 17 year Uranus cycle is next due in 2017.

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    2. Maybe you are thinking of this, which is unrelated to the 17 year cycle.

      http://planetforecaster.blogspot.com/2012/09/may-21-2013-very-important-date.html

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    3. Thanks Platy for beginning this excellent discussion. Regarding the "forecast" I made last year here, it is a general guideline and not based on Cowan's work. "Late March 2013 high" could be seen as the 4/11 high and May/June 2013 low could extend into June, allowing for another high (even a bit higher) in May (Beast cycle). The question of when the Beast cycle triggers (is it the geo or helio conjunction of Mars/Jupiter or is it when another planet(s) joins them...has not been resolved. In general, I think we can expect the end of a long term trend in the time frame of May-July 2013. Also, regarding cluster cit dates, if I could add a few thoughts...
      Uranus 360 is very important here I think. If you go back to 1929, the 9/3 high was helio Uran 9:03* (I elect to regard this as 9:05* which is a harmonic of the 95 major pentagonal point). Even more interesting is that helio Uran 9:5* occuring at the 1st major "crash" low on Nov.13,1929. If helio Uran 360* is going to reproduce this, 5/22-23 would be the major high and 6/19 the 1st crash low. We might have seen a pre-echo of this in geo Uran in April with a 4/8 high (geo Uran 9:05*) and a 4/22 low (geo Uran 9:5*). In my next post, I'll add a few other thoughts on the approaching potential cits.

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    4. Thanks a lot Buffee, you always have great insights!

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    5. platy, does buffee have a web site or blog? By the way, the conversation on this site has been excellent. Lots of good comments often supported by good analysis.

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    6. I don't think so. Thanks kygold61, lots of smart readers here.

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    7. So that, Buffy says there´s no assurance about the Beast Cycle date?

      Apanalis

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    8. By the way, thanks a lot for your view, buffee , I am expecting your next guideline!

      Apanalis

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  15. I just added an April 30 gold Ceres cycle to the turn dates in this thread that I had missed before.

    http://planetforecaster.blogspot.com/2013/04/goldsilver-late-april-turn-dates.html

    The corresponding silver Ceres cycle is May 2.

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  16. To those doubting that GDX can't plunge another 40-50% over the next few weeks look atthe performance in the face of gold rising on Thursday and early Friday.
    Despite the strong move on Thursday GDX underperformed by half and then on Friday was down early despite gold being up more than $20 at one point.

    This is not the sign of a gold market about to recover, or for thst matter even consolidate. It is IMO the sign of a market about to take another plunge.

    Still not convinced?.........look back at 2008. After plunging nearly 50% from over 50 to under 30, the bulls and contrarians convinced the bottom was in stepped up for a couple of weeks only to have the rug pulled from under them. From just under 40 GDX dropped to the mid teens in less than 4 weeks.

    "History may not repeat itself but it does rhyme" .......Source still undetermined

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    1. Miners look like they are bottoming to me. Volume has been high and the daily MACD/RSI are turning up. I think we have another test of the lows and GDX should find support at the 78.6% Fibonacci level (~26.78). Also, both gold and silver are close to important Fibonacci support levels, not yet touched (~1285/21.45). So I think we should see a drop to these levels in the next few days (into the Ceres cycles perhaps, Apr 30/May 2) where they also should find support, at least for now.

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    2. Here is an interesting chart forecast of the HUI (AMEX Gold Bug Index) that would support another 2008 style scenario, but over longer duration of six more months from now. I believe it uses the standard thesis that breaching the neckline of a major head and shoulders top typically results in a 100% correction of the prior uptrend cycle back to its breakout point. Probably the same theory that some are using to predict S&P500 back to 666 during the next 2-3 years, since that was the bottom in Mar 2009 before the reversal breakout that we see recently.

      http://rambus1.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/hui-day-hS.png

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    3. This is my thinking as well Awakening888, thanks!

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  17. platy, the Uranus Cycle, every 17 years.6, next turn date so is in 2017, did you say?

    Apanalis

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    1. http://planetforecaster.blogspot.com/2011/10/uranus-and-17-year-stock-market-cycle.html

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  18. Did you publishe the prior dates of this Cycle before? Apanalis

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  19. platy, as Buffee says there is not already assurance about the Beast Cycle date?

    Apanalis

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  20. And the last thing, how can you interpret that the Jupiter-Uranus Cycle, since march´09 is due 17 ago´13? We could see new highs in agoust? a double top?

    Apanalis.

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    1. I have not tracked the Jupiter-Uranus cycle specifically.

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    2. Sorry platy, I wanted to say the Jupiter-Mars Cycle, the next date is 17th agoust ´13, how can you interpret this? new highs, doble top?

      Thanks. Apanalis

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    3. I think this Mars Jupiter Cycle might not be anything, especially as it seems to be "in no man's land" wrt to other cycles. 360' M/J cycles occur regularly ever ~ 2 years and if you study enough of them going back, you see there are often numerous instances that it was irrelevant.

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  21. And platy, must say your site is a outstanding web! you must be proud!

    Apanalis

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  22. Updating thoughts on May cits - today is end of the month which always merits caution. Next 5/5-7 (2 trines and a mars-jup synodic cycle). Then 5/9-10 (new moon and eclipse) - possible prices 1563, 1577, 1585, 1601, 1642. Then 5/18-25 - so many things happening there that it's too much to write. imho, would have to be an important cit.

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    1. buffe, do you think the cycle that start in march´09 will finish in may-jun´13? Thanks. Apanalis.

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  23. I think 5/23 will an important high.

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    1. Thanks Buffee, I really value your input :)

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  24. thanks Platy and Apanalis - we are just students of the markets. :-)

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  25. buffee, we are very grateful with your visits, we would like to see you more often.

    I bet this bull market born in march´09 is finishing in may, but i have some dubts.

    My studies for the Secular structure for the Dow Jones pointed the end in last summer and don´t know if they can do as in the 17-years cycle from 1906-23 with peaks in 1909-16-19, altered the secular cycle, without respecting timing; never in the 9th year of a plunge about 50% teh Dow Jones consumed more than 2-3 years to see new highs or test the Cycle roof; so currently I don´t know if the will consume more time to see 16.000 level, or they can do this in some days in aparabolic movement.

    You can see this in a spanish forum by me, the second input> http://forosdebolsa.com/foro/foros-de-bolsa/1099908/hola-a-tod-s/58/

    Apanalis

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  26. platy , the other day i referred the Jupiter-mars Cycle -dominated from march´09 , next ,dated for you the 17th ago ´13, how can we interpret this, a double top? Thanks

    Apanalis

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  27. using a different method, following are upcoming trends:
    this week: up to Friday 5/3 close high

    next week: 5/6 low - choppy to up with biggest rally late in the week to Friday 5/10 close high. This is where I would consider getting short for a quick trade down.

    following week: down to a low on Wed. 5/15 close. Looking to get long here for a rally into the following week. The rally doesn't really get traction until Monday with a huge move up to 5/20 close or 5/21 open high. 5/21 is down with a low at the close or 5/22 open low. Then another big rally to 5/23 close or 5/24 open high (double top?).

    fwiw. please don't trade this. :-)

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