Tuesday, February 21, 2012

2/24 Mars 72° Cycle

Friday the 24th is a geocentric Mars 72° harmonic (in retrograde) for the Nasdaq.

Mars 72° Harmonic (Geocentric)


Mars is an extremely reliable turn indicator. Past warnings about Mars include Mars 72° Cycle Approaches and Upcoming Mars 36° Cycle. A nice graph with all the Mars turns for the past year is found in the post on Geocentric Harmonics. The next heliocentric Mars 72° cycle is not far off, on March 11.

The Mars cycle is a sub-cycle of the Jupiter-Mars cycle, first talked about here. Jupiter crosses the heliocentric 36° harmonic point on July 17, 2012. The next Jupiter-Mars opposition, occurring near heliocentric 36°, will be August 17, 2012,. This should be a major event especially as it is square Neptune.

38 comments:

  1. thanks platy,
    do you think that the transits to NASDAQ pentagon points will be more reliable cits than the transits to the NYSE pentagon points? Cowan does state that the NASDAQ is more representative of the real market trend (or something to that effect) but his Great Pentagon is built on the NYSE natal. tia, buffee

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good question. My pentagram for the Nasdaq is based on the NYSE natal chart, since that's what Cowan did. I have not tried looking at the Nasdaq natal chart.

      Delete
    2. Are you using a Nasdaq natal of 2/5/1971 or 2/8/1971 to construct your pentagram? tia.

      Delete
    3. I use the NYSE chart, discussed here: http://planetforecaster.blogspot.com/2011/10/new-york-stock-exchange-natal-chart.html

      Delete
  2. Thanks for keeping the blog going!!!
    Quick question...

    Mars is at 167 degrees geocentricly...
    The 72 harmonic I assume you are talking about is the helio saturn point at 166.869...

    Are you blending geo transits on a helio natal pentagram? or are you comparing these geo transits to a geo natal pentagram I am not aware of with similar harmonic points?

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes I am applying the heliocentric pentagram to the geocentric chart. Buffee and I worked this out a while back and I know it seems counter intuitive but it's what works!

      Delete
    2. This isn't an official Cowan thing - but I'm watching "test" harmonics of Uranus that hit yesterday and today (Geo URAN 2:39 on 2/20 and Helio URAN 4:10 on 2/21. Being that URAN is in Aries, we are getting possible "vibrational" harmonics to the Great Pentagon points. I noticed that many of them worked when they last came round in the 1928 - 1932 time frame.

      Delete
    3. Interesting work Buffee - keep us updated!

      Delete
  3. I have used the Seasonal Chain Relative method to calculate a composite cycle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) using the heliocentric longitudes of Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus using daily data from inception in 1896. If the out of sample turning points faithfully follow the composite cycle, we can expect an initial top in late August 2012 followed by a double top in April 2013 and an eventual bottom in late October 2015.

    Some points to keep in mind, is that I averaged returns for corresponding positions of Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus. In other words, I have not weighted the returns. Also, I used the arithmetic mean instead of the median when calculating the composite curve using the Seasonal Chain Relative method. Note, the curve can be used only to observe turning points but not to forecast the extent of moves because it does not contain the trend.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have not heard of this method. Very intriguing!!

      Delete
    2. Thanks for sharing this. Have you taken a look back to the earlier decades on this composite cycle and, if so, were the turning points as accurate as this?

      Delete
    3. To follow up on my Seasonal Chain Relative post, DJIA topped as per the model on 2/29. If the model holds, the correction won't be very deep and should bottom on 3/22 and then move up to 4/24 at which time a larger correction will unfold.

      Delete
    4. Thank you, this is fascinating work and we will follow it closely!

      Delete
    5. When I last wrote on the Seasonal Chain Relative method, I forecast a top on 4/24 followed by a correction. DJIA topped on 5/1. The model forecast a bottom on 5/31. The actual bottom was on 6/4. The next top is expected on 10/4 with a double bottom on 11/15 and 1/10/13. Due to the slow moving planets Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus, the margin of error of the turning points is ~2 weeks.

      Delete
    6. Great stuff, thanks for the update!

      Delete
    7. Anonymous, we're still following your work closely. I see in my stats that this post gets visited frequently, no doubt because of you! Another great call for October 4. Thanks again for sharing your work.

      Delete
    8. Dear Anonymous, I admire your excellent work! I would like to ask you one question. You say that your model predicts double bottom on 11/15/12 and 1/10/13. But on your chart, both legs of this double bottom seem to happen in 2012. Could you be so kind and explain this to me? Or Platy, do you have any idea please? Thank you very much!

      Delete
    9. Sorry can't help you here Anon #2.

      Delete
  4. Out of sample analysis is the best way to figure out whether the composite cycle is valuable. One way to do this would be to partition the data into two sets - an "in sample" set and an "out of sample" set. The problem with this kind of analysis is that we have data going back to only 1896. The Uranus cycle is 84-years which means that you will need to include data through 1980 to cover one full Uranus cycle. So, your "out of sample" set is going to be quite small. Also, I have mine own reservations about what kind of useful conclusions you can draw with just one Uranus cycle. The sample size isn't that much better for Saturn which has a cycle of 29.6 years.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This really is impressive work. Have you considered incorporating Ceres or Mars for smaller time scale trends?

      Delete
  5. It amazes me how accurate it's proven to be already. Astonishing. Some turns appear to be within days. Thanks very much.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Has anyone looked astro speaking into why week of August 15-22= __.62- .64 is such a powerful date in the year?
    It is not a Gann equinoctial nor solstice point.

    Just since 1971, we have:
    1971.62 Sunday August 15 Nixon goes on TV to announce wage & price controls, and end last of dollar convertibility, putting the whole world on scrip first time ever.
    2011.64 August 22 Gold hits a big high of some degree, 40 year on from 1971.62.
    2012.63--This site's post claim of something big August 17.
    2013.62 Cowan claims Aug 16 12.76-year (13-Year) panic cycle high in broad market indexes.

    Based on the late Feb post about the planets' alignment for this coming Aug 17, it is maybe just that for those other years.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nice observation - interested in hearing others' thoughts.

      Delete
  7. Slight variant on Cowan dates from this guy Merriman, who puts out a free weekly on his site. I read it to get astro terminology in context with predictions.I'm not a subscriber.:
    http://www.mmacycles.com/weekly-preview/mma-comments-for-the-week/mma-comments-for-the-week-beginning-february-27,-2012/
    Generally speaking, the stock market is due to make an important long-term cycle crest between now and June 2013. More specifically, if it continues higher after March 2012 (and probably after March 7, 2012), it may continue to explode higher until Jupiter reaches mid-Gemini, sometime between August 2012 and June 2013. This matter is covered in greater detail in last week’s Forecast 2012 webinar, which is now available for viewing in its entirety as an on-line broadcast, through March 20 (see announcements below).
    What I find very worrisome is that the markets continue higher, or at least consolidating, with record bullish sentiment this far away from a supposed top! This is exactly what one would see if the stock markets, along with now commodities, are showing the 'leakage' of some of that trillions of funny money and is on the verge of breaking out into hyperinflation worldwide.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very interesting, and ties into some key dates we have coming up. I think Merriman's analysis is very different to what we do here, so it's fascinating that the dates line up. Thank you!

      Delete
  8. updating the "test" URAN cits - another one tomorrow 3/1. It's a '72' harmonic. Then '18' test harmonic on 3/6, '36' test harmonic on 3/12 and two '18' test harmonics on 3/16 and 3/19.

    ReplyDelete
  9. I wrote about the Seasonal Chain Relative Method applied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average using the slow moving planets Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus (see http://planetforecaster.blogspot.com/2012/02/224-mars-72-cycle.html). My last posting on June 20, 2012 4:57 AM said The next top is expected on 10/4 with a double bottom on 11/15 and 1/10/13. Due to the slow moving planets Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus, the margin of error of the turning points is ~2 weeks. DJIA topped out on 10/5 - off by a day from the projected nominal date. Now, let's see if an initial bottom materializes near 11/15.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hello,thank you for your update.I have a similar question to the one above.Your graph suggests the final low before 2013's double top should occur in the second half of December 2012 and not on 10th January 2013.Thank you for your answer & good luck with your model.

      Delete
    2. Hey Anon, Thank you very much for sharing your work. Much Appreciated!

      Delete
  10. The correct dates for the double bottom are 11/15/2012 and 1/10/2013. The composite cycle changes slightly every week as more data points become available. I will publish an updated graph later tonight.

    The DJIA, S&P 500, and the NASDAQ are all in the vicinity of their 200 day moving average. I expect the market will turn close to the projected 11/15 date.

    I looked at the pentagram and apart from the lunation (Sun/Moon conjunction or New Moon) expected on 11/13, I don't see any interesting configurations.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Really appreciate your work Anon, thank you!

      Delete
    2. Hi Anon,
      any update? if we are at low now, when is your next turn date(s). Thanks for keeping us posted

      Delete
  11. Anonymous,

    enjoy reading your posts. did you update the graph?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Hi Anon,
    Appreciate your work, are you still expecting the markets to double bottom/ pullback into 1/10? or is it already behind?

    ReplyDelete

]]>