Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Marty, it's the Planets: The Armstrong 2.15-Year Cycle

Martin Armstrong is undoubtedly one of the greatest cycle theorists of our day. His predictions include the 1989 peak in the Nikkei market to the day, as well as the 1987 crash and 2007 top in the U.S. markets. Armstrong's most famous cycle is 8.6 years, or pi*1000 days (3141 days). In Armstrong's article The Business Cycle and the Future (1999), he states:
I began with the very basic naive approach of simply adding up all the financial panics between 1683 and 1907 and dividing 224 years by the number of panics being 26 yielding 8.6 years. Well, this didn’t seem to be very valid at first, but it did allow for a greater amount of data to be tested compared to merely 3 waves described by Kondratieff.
...The issue of intensity seemed to revolve around periods of 51.6 years, which was in reality a group of 6 individual business cycles of 8.6 years in length.
...The total number of days within an 8.6-year business cycle was 3141. In reality, the 8.6-year cycle was equal to p (Pi) * 1000
In Armstrong's article, he further subdivides the 8.6 year cycle into four 2.15 year intervals, and lists several dates going into the future. Let's find out what is going on with the planets on these dates.
The Economic Confidence Model in 2.15-year intervals
1998.55... 07/20/98
2000.7.... 09/13/00
2002.85... 11/08/02
2005.... 01/02/05
2007.15... 02/27/07
2009.3... 04/23/09
2011.45... 06/18/11
2013.6... 08/12/13
2015.75... 10/07/15
2017.9... 12/01/17
2020.05... 01/26/20
2022.2... 03/22/22
2024.35... 05/16/24
2026.5... 07/11/26
2028.65... 09/04/28

The Venus orbital cycle is 224.7 days. Seven orbits of Venus complete in 4.3 years, or two 2.15-year cycles (224.7*7/365.25 = 4.3). So each 2.15-year cycle traces 3.5 orbits of Venus. For the dates listed above, the position of Venus oscillates between the 2 points indicated in the following picture.
Venus positions at Armstrong 2.15-Year Cycles
Observe the position of Venus at each of the 2.15-year Armstrong Cycles listed above in the image below.


Each Armstrong 2.15-year cycle tracks 3.5 orbits of Venus. 

The Mars orbital cycle is 687 days, or 1.88 years. Every (slightly more than) 15 years, Mars makes 8 complete orbits (8x687/365.25 = 15.05). Each 7th of this 15.05-year period (or 2.15 years) reveals a consistent placement of Mars in the Zodiac, labeled 1 through 7 in the following picture. So, starting with position 1, Mars makes a complete revolution back to 1 plus an advancement to position 2 in the 2.15 year interval. The spacing is not even however because Mars travels faster when it is near Pisces/Aries, and slower near Virgo/Libra.

Mars Positions at Armstrong 2.15-Year Cycles
In the next image, the positions of the planets are shown for all 17 2.15-year cycle dates listed by Armstrong above. Notice the position of Mars in each case, as it corresponds to the image above.


Each Armstrong 2.15-year cycle tracks 8/7 of an orbit of Mars (in time not space).

 At the same time, Jupiter is making a similar dance. Jupiter's orbital cycle is 4,333 days, or 11.86 years. Every 11 2.15-year cycles, Jupiter makes 2 complete revolutions (11x2.15/11.86 = 2). The 11 positions of Jupiter for the 2.15-year cycles is shown below.

Jupiter Positions at Armstrong 2.15-Year Cycles

The chart of planets for each 2.15-year cycle is shown again, this time labeling the Jupiter positions as they correspond to the above picture.


Each Armstrong 2.15-year cycle tracks 2/11 of an orbit of Jupiter (in time).

In summary, each 2.15-year cycle tracks:
  • 3 1/2 orbits of Venus
  • 8/7 orbits of Mars
  • 2/11 orbits of Jupiter
We have already seen that Venus, Mars and Jupiter are all important movers of the stock market.

On a much larger scale, there are 1000 2.15-year cycles in an astrological age (2,150 years), and 12,000 cycles in the precession of the equinox (~25,800 years).

7 comments:

  1. Edgar Cayce's 25 year depression cycle
    Oddly, another researcher, Manfred Zimmel of www.amanita.at, later figured out the basis for Cayce’s information. OK, check your biases. For some of you, this is about to get worse. Here’s that same recession/depression series from above exactly as I first saw it, presented by Manfred, in 2006:
    Ø conjunction 9/1857: very serious recession 6/1857-12/1858 (18 months contraction)
    Ø conjunction 2/1882: depression 3/1882-5/1885 (38 months contraction)
    Ø conjunction 7/1906: serious recession 5/1907-6/1908 (13 months contraction)
    Ø conjunction 10/1932: serious depression 8/1929-3/1933 (43 months contraction)
    Ø conjunction 7/1958: recession 8/1957-4/1958 (8 months contraction)
    Ø conjunction 12/1981: very serious recession 7/1981-11/1982 (16 months contraction) – last deep recession
    Ø conjunction 12/2007:
    Yep, you guessed it (heh), the cycle is actually the Jupiter-Pluto conjunction cycle.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very interesting, thanks! So next one is late 2020...

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  2. 817 years also have the 43 year cycle and 2.15 year property with the metonic 19 year cycle of 19*43. The 817 years has 95 8.6 year cycle and 5 2.15 year cycle. Also 95 is 5 times the 19 year cycle.

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  3. I found that number 817 years in a post but lost the link. Do you know anything about 817 years and the significance of it? Thanks. Martin has written something about the 800 year number but I can't precisely remember the precise digits I think it was 817 because I found this information in a second post not from here.

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  4. 380 2.15 year cycles and 5 215 year cycle which is also 5 19 year cycle

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